Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.466694e-03 0.001639 0.001814 0.002003 0.002201 0.002403 0.002623
2024-12-29 1.207391e-03 0.001455 0.001715 0.002005 0.002317 0.002642 0.003005
2025-01-05 1.013915e-03 0.001318 0.001647 0.002024 0.002440 0.002882 0.003383
2025-01-12 8.673715e-04 0.001216 0.001605 0.002063 0.002579 0.003135 0.003774
2025-01-19 6.873849e-04 0.001057 0.001486 0.002005 0.002601 0.003256 0.004018
2025-01-26 5.602206e-04 0.000947 0.001412 0.001990 0.002668 0.003421 0.004308
2025-02-02 4.531150e-04 0.000849 0.001345 0.001975 0.002728 0.003576 0.004584
2025-02-09 4.075172e-04 0.000826 0.001365 0.002063 0.002906 0.003863 0.005009
2025-02-16 3.354109e-04 0.000757 0.001323 0.002070 0.002985 0.004035 0.005301
2025-02-23 2.458950e-04 0.000650 0.001221 0.001997 0.002964 0.004087 0.005454
2025-03-02 1.751523e-04 0.000559 0.001132 0.001933 0.002950 0.004143 0.005607
2025-03-09 1.245412e-04 0.000489 0.001066 0.001895 0.002963 0.004230 0.005794
2025-03-16 7.171491e-05 0.000408 0.000993 0.001865 0.003012 0.004389 0.006106
2025-03-23 4.096171e-05 0.000358 0.000961 0.001889 0.003131 0.004638 0.006530
2025-03-30 2.010542e-05 0.000316 0.000936 0.001923 0.003264 0.004907 0.006980
2025-04-06 7.813783e-06 0.000284 0.000924 0.001972 0.003417 0.005200 0.007464
2025-04-13 1.037971e-08 0.000220 0.000847 0.001922 0.003437 0.005330 0.007752
2025-04-20 NaN 0.000178 0.000800 0.001913 0.003509 0.005523 0.008114
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000141 0.000754 0.001902 0.003576 0.005708 0.008467
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000134 0.000773 0.001990 0.003779 0.006064 0.009029
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000108 0.000743 0.001998 0.003870 0.006278 0.009417
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000071 0.000668 0.001928 0.003848 0.006347 0.009625
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000043 0.000602 0.001866 0.003835 0.006423 0.009841